If it walks like a duck; if it talks like a duck…
It could be a duck. Or a geeky poker player. Or a politician in reelection mode. Or…
Ducks aren’t known to be overly bright. The Peking ones are tasty but lost to the gene pool.
In the not too bright category, I’ll try to come up with a poker post. Seeing I haven’t played in months, it going to be hard to promote my great skill and obvious genius. So, I’ll fall back to something you, they, everybody already know. But, hey, it is a poker post.
Quack-Quack is a pair of ducks the worst paired hand. But it a slight favorite to take out the third best starting hand — AK. In a ring game it is an interesting hand with interesting relating to both curse and joy. It isn’t as good as, say, 44 — which can also be played in an ‘interesting’ manner by the jaded. (Interesting but stupid is my top Google search connection thanks to Arte Johnson. And it may also apply to recent 44 activity.)
The thing about these hands, is if we look at every permutation/option/thought, we just exceeded the size of War and Peace. So, lets stay with acceptable blog length and my limitations.
You are likely to make a set 8.5% of the time. Those are roughly the odds of drawing on the turn to an inside straight. The reason to ignore that is that it smack of an implied odds hand. Implied odds smacks of genius coupled to getting to act like an idiot and succeeding. So, you flop your set and the world is rosy. That assumes an uncoordinated flop and there not being a better set in the hands of a fellow evil genius. (~100:1)
Implied odds hands that hit are golden. Fuel55 (remember him?) knew that Presto was certainly that and made profit and a blog from the fact. In ring games you need to make $8.5/$ profit but, more important, it is the stuff of big pot dreams. That was Fuel55 point. In tournament, the common knowledge is that implied odds are less a factor. Another tome could discuss that. It ain’t simple. Ever.
What all this boils down to is level 2 thinking. Along with Martha we all parrot, “That is a good thing.” and it often is. Or odds go out the window and stacker becomes stackee. We do have a tendency to make more of our level II thinking than we should. Level II often traps us into a path that is fought with traps. We fail to adopt and then we parish.
All that has little to do with the topic beyond a very general discussion of a so-so hand that can be oh so sweet when we see a 22A flop. We’ve the stuff of dreams and even rivered nightmares. Damn but I miss that. Never thought I’d say that in that context.
So there you have it. I’ve come up with a poker post. It broke no new ground. You leave no wiser. But, I managed a poker post … so there!
Curse you SDNY and the graduate school of jurisprudence that spawned you.
P.S. To anyone who might go all-in with 80 BB and fail with such a hand, it isn’t that promoting the hand is bad. That isn’t a failure. Overbetting is.
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The crazy train reference was me quoting Otis. I fear my blog will never make it into Bartlett’s Familiar Quotations.